CASE STUDY

The SR100M Lowest Bidder Trap

How a government agency lost 50% of project value by choosing the cheapest contractor—and how financial analysis could have prevented it

6 min read
Government Project

The Vision: Modernizing City Infrastructure

AMBITIOUS PROJECT

A government agency launches an ambitious $200M transportation hub project to modernize city infrastructure and boost economic development. Five major contractors compete for the prestigious contract.

$200M
Project Value
5
Major Bidders
36
Month Timeline

The Fatal Choice: Lowest Bidder Wins

COST FOCUSED

Company A wins with the lowest bid, beating Company B by just 8%. The decision seems fiscally responsible —save taxpayer money and deliver infrastructure on budget.

The Red Flags (Overlooked)

Financial Metric Company ACompany B Benchmark
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 3:1 0.5:1 ≤1:1
Cash Flow from Operations -$10M +$5M Positive
Current Ratio 0.8 2.0 ≥1.5
Net Profit Margin -6% +12% ≥5%

The Collapse: Project Stops Mid-Construction

CRITICAL FAILURE

Within six months, Company A's financial instability becomes catastrophic. Construction halts mid-project, labor strikes emerge, and the agency is forced to re-tender the entire project.

The Devastating Impact

+40%
Total Cost Increase
$80M in overruns
2+
Years of Delays
Legal disputes
$300M
Final Project Cost
50% over budget

Additional Consequences

Damaged stakeholder confidence

Damaged stakeholder confidence

Damaged stakeholder confidence

Damaged stakeholder confidence

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